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There is no denying that the broad markets remain in a resilient uptrend off the April 2025 low.  But if there’s one thing I’ve learned from many years of analyzing charts, it’s to remain vigilant during bullish phases.  Even though I’ll assume the uptrend is still intact, that doesn’t mean I can stop looking for signs of potential weakness!

With that in mind, here are three bearish candle patterns that often pop up during bullish market phases.  By looking for these patterns in the stocks and ETFs that you own, you can hopefully get ahead of any corrective moves and take profits before it’s too late!

The Shooting Star Pattern

If you see a long upper shadow, little to no lower shadow, and the open and close are close together near the bottom of the day’s range, then you have identified a shooting star candle pattern.  If you’re familiar with the hammer candle pattern, then you can think of this as a hammer candle but basically everything is upside down!

The chart of AT&T (T) has featured a number of shooting star candles so far in 2025.  Just before the selloff in early April, there was a clear shooting star candle after the March rally.  Then during the rally off the April low, a shooting star pattern in early May suggested that the uptrend phase was nearing an exhaustion point.

The Bearish Engulfing Pattern

One of the most recognizable patterns in the candlestick library, the bearish engulfing pattern represents a short-term rotation from accumulation to distribution.  Basically, a large up candle is followed by a large down candle, and the second day’s “real body” (the open-to-close range) engulfs the range of the first day’s real body.  

Look at the strength in the uptrend for Paramount Global (PARA) going into early June.  Then just before the 4th of July weekend, a bearish engulfing pattern suggests a change of character as the bears take control.  It’s worth noting that these candle patterns are not long-term signals, but rather indicate short-term dynamics.  So a bearish engulfing pattern suggests weakness for the next one to three bars.

The Evening Star Pattern

If you took the bearish engulfing pattern, and then added another small candle in the middle of those two days, then you’d have an evening star pattern.  Now most candlestick textbooks will tell you that the “star” day in the middle should include a gap, so there’s no overlap between that day’s range and the other two candles.  In practice, I’ve found most people ignore this detail and rather look for patterns with enough similarities to this basic structure.

Going back to the AT&T chart we used earlier, we can see an evening star pattern at the end of June.  A big day is followed soon after by a big down day, with a small candle in the middle.  This is a great example of where additional weakness led the price below the 50-day moving average, serving to confirm the bearish outlook as represented by the evening star pattern.

It’s so easy to become complacent during an extended bull market rally.  Investors that regularly scan for bearish candle patterns have an edge, as they can anticipate potential turning points before the uptrend changes in dramatic fashion to a new downtrend phase!

RR#6,

Dave

PS- Ready to upgrade your investment process?  Check out my free behavioral investing course!

David Keller, CMT

President and Chief Strategist

Sierra Alpha Research LLC

marketmisbehavior.com

https://www.youtube.com/c/MarketMisbehavior

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.  The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.  

The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication.    Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

Join Tom as he covers key inflation data, earnings season highlights, and sector rotation trends. He breaks down recent price action in major indexes like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, with a close look at the 20-day moving average as a support gauge. Tom spotlights standout industry groups such as gambling, semiconductors, software, and aerospace, and shares charts of top-performing stocks like Goldman Sachs, Johnson & Johnson, and PNC. Tom highlights under-performing areas like insurance brokers and home improvement, then reviews several strong earnings reactions, including Monarch Casino’s 15% after-hours gain.

This video was published on July 17, 2025. Click this link to watch on Tom’s dedicated page.

Missed a session? Archived videos from Tom are available at this link

Buy Bitcoin Under $100K Before The Next Bull Run

The opportunity to buy Bitcoin under $100K may not last much longer. On April 21, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) traded just below the $100,000 mark, a price level many analysts believe could be the last stop before a massive new rally begins. With institutional adoption rising and macroeconomic pressures easing, the case for long-term BTC growth is strengthening.

Why Now Might Be the Time to Buy Bitcoin Under $100K

Market experts point to several factors fueling the bullish sentiment. Firstly, Bitcoin’s halving event earlier this year significantly reduced block rewards, cutting daily supply by half. Historically, halving events have preceded major bull runs. Secondly, growing interest from ETFs and institutional players is creating steady buying pressure. Lastly, declining inflation and improved global liquidity conditions are encouraging investment in risk assets like Bitcoin.

According to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, “It’s not too late to buy Bitcoin under $100K. This could be one of the last best opportunities before we see a surge well beyond six figures.”

Long-Term Outlook for BTC Investors

Looking ahead, many analysts predict that Bitcoin could exceed $150,000 by the end of the year. While this isn’t guaranteed, trends in institutional adoption, limited supply, and rising use cases for Bitcoin suggest that prices may continue climbing.

Although short-term volatility persists, long-term investors remain focused on fundamentals. If history repeats itself, buying Bitcoin at sub-$100K levels may prove to be a decision rewarded in the coming cycle.

Final Thoughts

If you’ve been on the sidelines, now could be your moment to enter the market. The chance to buy Bitcoin under $100K might not last much longer. As always, do your research and consider your financial goals before investing.

Source: Yahoo Finance

Related: Bitcoin News | Crypto Analysis

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Trump’s Fed Criticism Sparks Investor Concerns

The recent spotlight on Trump’s Fed Criticism has sparked unease among investors and financial analysts alike. President Donald Trump’s repeated public attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have amplified concerns over the central bank’s independence. As a result, markets have reacted with volatility, and investor sentiment has taken a noticeable hit.

Market Reactions to Political Pressure

Wall Street’s response to Trump’s Fed Criticism was swift. Major stock indices, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, posted losses amid uncertainty over future monetary policy decisions. Investors fear that political attempts to sway the Federal Reserve’s agenda may undermine its objectivity. If monetary policy is dictated by short-term political goals rather than long-term economic data, the implications could be severe for inflation, interest rates, and overall economic health.

Why Federal Reserve Independence Matters

One of the cornerstones of a stable economy is a politically neutral central bank. Trump’s Fed Criticism has called that neutrality into question. The Federal Reserve must be able to act without external pressure to maintain credibility in the eyes of global markets. Political interference could compromise its ability to control inflation or manage unemployment rates effectively.

Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook

Investor confidence remains fragile. Many market participants have shifted assets into safer investments such as gold and U.S. treasuries, seeking shelter from potential turmoil. Economic advisors stress the importance of maintaining clear, data-driven policy guidance, especially as the U.S. navigates ongoing trade issues and inflation concerns.

In the coming weeks, the Federal Reserve’s actions will be closely watched. Should Trump’s Fed Criticism intensify, it could further erode market stability and investor trust in U.S. monetary policy.

Source: Yahoo Finance

 

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Oil Prices Rebound After Trump’s Criticism of Fed Chair Powell

On April 22, 2025, oil prices rebound experienced a modest rebound following a significant drop the previous day. The initial decline was triggered by President Donald Trump’s renewed criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which unsettled financial markets and raised concerns about the central bank’s independence.

Market Reaction to Political Commentary

President Trump’s comments on Monday intensified investor fears regarding the Federal Reserve’s autonomy in setting monetary policy. The criticism led to a broad sell-off in equities and commodities, with oil prices bearing the brunt of the market’s anxiety.

Short-Covering Leads to Price Recovery

Despite the initial plunge, oil prices rebound edged higher on Tuesday as investors engaged in short-covering. Brent crude futures rose 0.5% to $66.62 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for May delivery increased by 1% to $63.73 per barrel. The more actively traded WTI June contract also gained 0.7% to $62.84 per barrel.

Ongoing Economic Concerns

Market participants remain cautious amid ongoing fears of a potential recession linked to U.S. tariff policies and concerns over Federal Reserve independence. These factors have increased worries about the U.S. economy and crude demand. Additionally, progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear deal talks has eased supply concerns, potentially impacting oil prices further.

As the situation evolves, investors will closely monitor geopolitical developments and central bank communications to assess the potential long-term impacts on the energy markets.

Source: BloomBurg

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Bitcoin Nears $85K Amid Market Optimism

On April 14, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) climbed close to the $85,000 mark, signaling a strong recovery after a period of volatility. This recent Bitcoin price surge is attributed to easing global tariff tensions and broader market stability. The rally marks a shift in sentiment, with both retail and institutional investors showing renewed confidence in the cryptocurrency market.

Key Drivers Behind Bitcoin’s Surge

Multiple economic and technical factors contributed to Bitcoin’s upward momentum:

  • Tariff Easing: The U.S. and EU signaled a pause in ongoing trade disputes, reducing uncertainty in global financial markets. As traditional investors seek alternative stores of value, Bitcoin stands out as a leading choice.
  • Stock Market Gains: Major global stock indices recorded solid growth over the past week, reflecting positive investor sentiment. Cryptocurrency trends often mirror or follow traditional markets, and BTC benefited from the spillover effect.
  • Technical Signals: Analysts noted bullish chart patterns, including a golden cross and RSI support. These indicators pushed traders to open long positions, helping fuel the rally.

Growing Investor Confidence

The return of capital to riskier assets like cryptocurrencies suggests that investors are increasingly comfortable with current market conditions. Bitcoin’s resilience during previous downturns and its growing mainstream adoption as a digital store of value are key reasons for this trust.

Several large institutions reportedly increased their BTC holdings during the dip, reaffirming long-term confidence in the asset despite short-term volatility.

What Lies Ahead for BTC?

While market optimism is high, experts advise caution. Macroeconomic variables, including inflation, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical tensions, will continue to influence price action. Investors should track these developments closely and remain diversified in their strategies.

Conclusion: Bitcoin’s approach toward $85K reflects more than just a bounce — it highlights a maturing market, increasing adoption, and greater investor awareness.

Source: CoinDesk

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Bitcoin Slips to $83.6K Amid Nvidia’s $5.5B Charge

On April 15, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a notable decline, dropping to $83,600. This downturn coincided with Nvidia’s announcement of a substantial $5.5 billion charge, which unsettled investors and reverberated across the cryptocurrency market.

Market Reaction to Nvidia’s Financial Disclosure

Nvidia’s unexpected financial charge raised concerns about the broader tech sector’s health, leading to a ripple effect in risk-sensitive markets. Bitcoin, often viewed as a barometer for investor risk appetite, responded with a swift decline, reflecting the market’s apprehension.

Impact on Major Cryptocurrencies

The negative sentiment wasn’t limited to Bitcoin. Other prominent cryptocurrencies also felt the pressure:

  • XRP: Fell over 2% to $2.08.
  • Cardano (ADA): Decreased by 4% to $0.61.
  • CoinDesk 20 Index: A broader market gauge, weakened over 2%.

These declines underscore the interconnectedness of the cryptocurrency market and its sensitivity to developments in the traditional financial sector.

Investor Sentiment and Outlook

The convergence of traditional financial news and cryptocurrency performance highlights the evolving dynamics of the market. Investors are increasingly attentive to macroeconomic indicators and corporate disclosures, which can influence digital asset valuations.

As the market processes Nvidia’s announcement, stakeholders will monitor subsequent corporate earnings reports and economic data to gauge potential impacts on cryptocurrency valuations.

Source: CoinDesk

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Fed’s Stagflation Warning Impacts Crypto Markets

On April 16, 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced a notable downturn following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks about potential stagflation. Bitcoin’s price fell to $83,700, reflecting a 1.5% decrease over 24 hours, as investors reacted to concerns about inflation and slowed economic growth.

Stagflation Concerns Emerge

In a speech addressing the economic implications of recent tariff policies, Powell stated, “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension.” This acknowledgment of possible stagflation—a combination of stagnant economic growth and high inflation—prompted a cautious response from markets.

Impact on Cryptocurrency Market

The immediate effect of Powell’s comments was a swift decline in Bitcoin’s value, which had been approaching the $86,000 level earlier in the day. The broader cryptocurrency market mirrored this trend, with major altcoins experiencing similar losses. The Nasdaq also dropped 3.4%, indicating a wider market apprehension.

Investor Sentiment and Outlook

Analysts suggest that the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance may delay anticipated interest rate cuts, affecting liquidity and risk appetite in financial markets. Quinn Thompson, CIO at Lekker Capital, noted, “Powell came out extremely hawkish… It’s difficult for me to paint a constructive picture in the immediate term.”

As the market adjusts to these developments, investors are advised to monitor economic indicators and central bank communications closely. The interplay between monetary policy and cryptocurrency valuations remains a critical factor in market dynamics.

Source: CoinDesk

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Gold Price Surge Hits $3,385 Amid Trade Tensions

The gold price surge continued on April 21, 2025, as gold hit a record high of $3,385 per ounce. This milestone came amid a weakening U.S. dollar and renewed global trade tensions. Investors are increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset, signaling market uncertainty and shifting investment strategies.

Gold Price Increase Driven by Dollar Weakness

The U.S. dollar index fell sharply, hitting its lowest level since January 2024. A weaker dollar typically boosts gold prices, as it makes the metal more attractive to international buyers. This contributed significantly to the ongoing gold price surge seen in recent weeks.

In addition, economic data indicating slower growth in key global markets has prompted investors to reduce their exposure to riskier assets. Gold’s long-standing reputation as a hedge against economic uncertainty has once again proven true.

Trade Tensions Fuel Demand for Safe-Haven Assets

Ongoing trade friction between major economies—particularly the U.S. and China—has triggered market anxiety. Announcements related to new tariffs and supply chain risks are further motivating the shift from equities to gold. This environment is ideal for a gold price surge to gain momentum.

Analysts Predict Continued Gold Price Growth

Market analysts suggest that the upward trend is far from over. If inflation persists and interest rates remain steady or fall, the gold price could climb even higher. Some predict that the next psychological barrier of $3,500 per ounce may soon be tested.

As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, gold is expected to remain a central pillar in investor portfolios. Whether as a hedge against inflation or a response to geopolitical unrest, the gold price surge is being closely monitored by financial experts.

Source: Yahoo Finance

Related: Market Insights | Commodity News

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BNB Price Surge Leads Crypto Gains as Bitcoin Climbs

The BNB price surge on April 21, 2025, stole the spotlight as Binance Coin jumped over 3.2% to cross the $600 mark. This move came as Bitcoin soared past $87,000, reigniting investor interest in altcoins. The bullish wave didn’t stop with BNB—SOL and XRP also made strong moves, reflecting a positive trend across the cryptocurrency market.

BNB Price Surge Driven by Token Burn and Momentum

Fueling the BNB price surge was Binance’s recent $1 billion token burn, which reduced the circulating supply. Additionally, increased trading volumes and renewed faith in Binance’s ecosystem helped BNB regain upward momentum. Investors are optimistic that Binance’s expansion and focus on compliance could drive long-term growth.

SOL Rally and XRP Breakout Add to Market Optimism

Solana (SOL) saw a 10.2% rally, breaking above the $135 resistance level with strong volume and technical confirmation. XRP, on the other hand, climbed past $2.10, setting the stage for a potential breakout above $2.15. These moves indicate bullish setups that are gaining attention from both traders and long-term holders.

Bitcoin Reinforces Its Role as Digital Gold

Bitcoin’s rise above $87,000 reflects renewed demand for a digital safe-haven. With increasing global economic uncertainty and inflation concerns, many investors view Bitcoin as “digital gold.” This sentiment is spilling over into altcoins, triggering the current crypto rally.

Conclusion and Market Outlook

The BNB price surge highlights growing investor confidence in altcoins. Alongside Bitcoin’s strength, tokens like SOL and XRP are enjoying increased attention. If this trend continues, more gains could be ahead for altcoin markets. Investors should monitor resistance levels and trading volumes closely for signs of sustained momentum.

Source: Yahoo Finance

Related: Crypto Updates | Market Trends

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